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Fiscal
Policy and Global Growth  |
| Jul
27th 2010, C.P.
Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
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Across
the world governments are debating whether it is time
to exit from their fiscal response to the global crisis
and return to austerity and fiscal consolidation. This
may be premature, since the question whether there was
indeed such a generalized and adequate fiscal response
that triggered a recovery remains unanswered. |
|
Fiscal
Discipline and All That |
| Jul
27th 2010, Jayati
Ghosh |
|
| There
was a sudden resurgence in Keynesian ideas everywhere
when the global financial crisis broke in September
2008. But, equally suddenly, financial markets have
once again turned back on state intervention and policy
makers are giving in to demands for massive cuts in
public expenditure that would require enormous sacrifices
from their populations. |
|
The
Oil Price Hike |
| Jun28th
2010, Jayati
Ghosh |
|
| The
most obvious reason behind the government's decision
to ''free'' the price of petroleum products - even as
inflation has emerged as a major problem - seems to
be that it has chosen to favour the private companies
in this sector. But, the current strategy puts the entire
burden of irrational shifts in the international prices
of oil on the consumer, and the burden sharing involved
is extremely regressive. |
|
|
The Political Economy of the Enabling State |
| Mar
10th 2010, Jayati
Ghosh |
|
| While
this year's Economic Survey identifies the basic goal
of economic policy as inclusive growth, this is to be
delivered by a change in focus to an enabling government
from an actively interventionist one. This vision excludes
the possibility that the process of market-driven economic
growth itself generates greater material insecurity
and impoverishment for a significant section of the
population. |
|
| Controlling
Food Prices |
| Feb
23rd 2010, C.P.
Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
| Food
price inflation is one of the most critical economic
problems in the country today, and the ability to control
these prices quickly and effectively is one of the main
bases on which people will judge the performance of
this government. This article examines the recent pattern
of inflation in important food items and considers the
possible causes, including the growing distribution
margins. |
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| Who
Needs these Taxes? |
| Sep
1st 2009, C.P.
Chandrasekhar |
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| If
increasing its fiscal manoeuvrability and greater transparency
and equity were the objectives that the government was
pursuing through a tax reform, then a revamp of the
existing tax law to get rid of a wide range of unnecessary
exemptions would have been adequate. However, the draft
direct tax code is a signal that UPA II plans to continue
with the policy of cajoling private capital into investing
for growth with concessions that have adverse equity
and welfare implications. |
|
| Alternative
Perspectives on Panchayati Raj |
| May
8th 2009, Prabhat
Patnaik |
|
| Panchayati
Raj should not be viewed either as a mere ''governance
arrangement'' or as an end in itself. It is a means
of social transformation that derives its legitimacy
exclusively from the perspective of how far it facilitates
this process of social transformation. If we miss the
transformational role of panchayati raj, then we may
end up condoning and even accentuating caste and class
oppression in the countryside and also weakening the
State structure. |
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| How
to Spend the Money |
| Mar
6th 2009, Jayati
Ghosh |
|
| One
of the significant impact of the financial crisis on
the world of ideas is that it has brought to the forefront
the recognition of the role of the government expenditure
in mitigating recessions, as was advocated by Keynes
and Kalecki. This article makes a theoretical case for
undertaking Keynesian measures to cope with the recession.
|
|
| Blowing
Bubbles at the Bust |
| Jan
7th 2009, C.P.
Chandrasekhar |
|
| Some
observers have wrongly described the latest policy measures
as the second ''fiscal stimulus'' package. The package
is not fiscal but more monetary in nature, with little
emphasis on increasing government spending. Moreover,
the structure of the so called ''stimulus'' package
would only strengthen the kind of tendencies that generated
the crisis in the developed countries in the first place. |
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|
| Dec
11th 2008, Jayati
Ghosh |
|
| The
economic package announced on 7 December is simply too
feeble to go very far. Even when combined with the monetary
policy measures announced earlier, the present package
is unlikely to reverse the overall economic slow down. |
|
| Engineering
Stagflation |
| Jul
8th 2008, C.P.
Chandrasekhar |
|
| By
opting to hike petrol, diesel and LPG prices the government
has transferred a significant share of the burden of
increased international oil prices onto the domestic
consumer. The government cannot reduce expenditure in
an election year, so inflation will rise further. Unfortunately
the government has chosen to ignore the most reasonable
policy option of putting a curb on aggregate consumption
and the use of rationing to allocate the targeted volume. |
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| A
Note on Fiscal Devolution and the Centrally Sponsored
Schemes |
| May
26th
2008, Jayati Ghosh |
|
| A
constraint on the ability of the state governments to
raise revenues in turn limits their capacity to fulfil
even their constitutional responsibilities towards their
citizens. The pattern of fiscal devolution from Centre
to States is of the utmost significance from this perspective.
This system however, under the respective Finance Commissions,
has actually increased the centralisation of government
finances over time. |
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| The
State of Fiscal Devolution |
| Apr
23rd 2008, C. P. Chandrasekhar & Jayati Ghosh |
|
| Increasingly
the central government tries to pass the responsibility
for economic and social outcomes on to the state governments.
But does the current state of fiscal federalism justify
this? In this article the authors examine this question. |
|
| Boosting
a Rising Profit Rate |
| Sep
5th 2007, C.P Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
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|
As
profits rise in developed and developing countries and
the share of wages in value added falls, the clamour
for reducing corporate tax rates only increases. Governments
are warned of the danger of being shunned by FDI or
of seeing their own capital migrate out in search of
relative tax havens. The ''race to the bottom'' that
this could set off, argue C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati
Ghosh, would only increase the inequalising tendencies
inherent in contemporary capitalism. |
|
| Budgetary
Policy in the Context of Inflation |
| Mar
30th 2007, Prabhat Patnaik |
| Negating
the impact of the current inflationary episode in India
on the poor requires both the ensuring of appropriate
supplies through imports, and a transfer of purchasing
power from the profit earners to the workers. Hence,
even if augmentation of supplies through resorting to
imports, as the government is doing now in the case
of foodgrains, succeeds in ending inflation, there is
still the need to put additional purchasing power in
the hands of the poor so that they regain their earlier
real income. The author argues that the basic problem
with the 2007-08 budget is that it is oblivious of these
social demands of a situation of profit inflation. |
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| Is
the Centre Resource-stretched? |
| Dec
20th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
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An
argument commonly heard is that the Central government
is stretched for resources despite its best efforts,
necessitating a greater role for the private sector
and the state governments. This paper argues that the
evidence does not validate that position. A more appropriate
tax policy relating to dividends and capital gains would
alone yield substantial revenues for the government.
Therefore, much more can and needs to be done to mobilise
resources for a greater role for the Centre in development.
|
|
| An
Aspect of Neo-liberalism |
| Dec
19th 2006, Prabhat Patnaik |
|
The
increase in the scale of social ''bribes'' which governments
have to offer capitalists in order to elicit investment
from them is an important feature of neo-liberalism.
Currently, the Indian nation state as well as its different
state governments are experiencing this. Because of
its impact on state finances, this has crucial implications
for the poor and the working masses. |
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| Resources
for Equitable Growth |
| Dec
7th 2006, Economic Research Foundation |
| The
declared aims of the Planning Commission's Approach to
the XIth Plan, all of which require substantially increased
public expenditure in physical infrastructure and social
sectors, simply cannot be met within the confines of a
restrictive fiscal policy stance. The need to rethink
policies of resource generation and financial regulation
is therefore urgent. In this context, this paper, presented
to the National Commission on Enterprises in the Informal
Sector, seeks to examine the effects of the three perceptions
underlying the prevailing fiscal conservatism, questions
their validity and offers some alternatives for mobilising
resources for development. |
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| Government
Health Expenditure in India: A Benchmark Study |
| Oct
30th 2006, Economic Research Foundation |
|
In
spite of large positive externalities associated with
health spending, in India it is until now largely privately
financed. The relatively low spending by the government,
a trend aggravated during the liberalisation era, implies
that health infrastructure and services will be underprovided
and will simultaneously deny access to the poor. This
study seeks to examine the actual pattern of government
spending on health and related areas (particularly,
family welfare and child development) by both central
and state governments.
|
|
| Making
the Poor Pay for Health |
| Sep
28th 2006, Jayati Ghosh |
|
The
inadequate level of public health spending, which has
been a constant and unfortunate feature of Indian development
in the past half century, has deteriorated further.
If India is to achieve even a small part of the potential
that our leaders are so proud of declaring, government
health expenditure has to be substantially increased
from the current abysmally low levels. |
|
| Fallacies
and Silences in the Approach to the Eleventh Plan |
| Jul
26th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
In
this paper, the authors look at the specific proposals
made in the Planning Commission's Approach Paper to
the Eleventh Plan in the areas of control over and loss
of land, employment generation, agriculture and food
security, health and education. The paper questions
the underlying perception that creating a profitable
environment for private sector functioning will be enough
to fulfil most social goals, and no particular planning
strategy is required for this. |
|
| A
Background Note on the Approach Paper to the Eleventh
Five Year Plan |
| Jul
15th 2006, Prabhat Patnaik |
|
This
background note prepared on behalf of the Kerala State
Planning Board by Prabhat Patnaik, the Vice-Chairman
of the Board, discusses the various reservations of
the Board on the Approach Paper to the Eleventh Five
Year Plan released by the Planning Commission. The paper
also makes a number of initial proposals towards advancing
the regional consultations to be carried out by the
Planning Commission. |
|
| Approaching
the Eleventh Plan |
| Jul
11th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
The
Planning Commission has just released its Approach to
the Eleventh Five-Year Plan, which is entitled ''Towards
faster and more inclusive growth''. It is argued in
this paper that the macroeconomic presumptions of the
approach are faulty and unlikely to generate anything
resembling more inclusive growth. |
|
| Repeated
Sins of Commission |
| Jun
30th 2006, Jayati Ghosh |
|
One
of the lesser known large dams in the Narmada valley,
the Maheshwar Project, which is the first privatised
hydel project in India, shows all the signs of another
Enron-type fiasco in the making. But, apart from the
flaws on technical and financial grounds, this time
there is also added devastation produced by large scale
displacement and completely inadequate rehabilitation.
|
|
| Exorcising
Inflation |
| Jun
29th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar |
|
The
present problem of inflation is not one of excess demand
in all cases, but of manipulated shortages and cost-driven
inflation. Using imports to exorcise such inflation
would only serve to increase dependence on foreign finance
and also lead to a worsening of the agrarian crisis.
|
|
| Providing
Social Security to Unorganised Workers |
| Jun
26th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
The
lack of provision of basic social security for the vast
bulk of workers in India is one of the more depressing
features of Indian society. This is sought to be corrected
in the recent recommendations of the National Commission
for Enterprises in the Unorganised Sector. In this paper,
the authors consider the main proposals in the Report
and the associated legislation that will be required,
and argue that this must become a priority issue for
the government. |
|
| Three
Budgets of UPA: Where is the ''Human Face''?
|
| Mar
22nd 2006, Shouvik
Chakraborty |
|
In
recent years, the media has created a lot of hype about
the UPA government's budgets, stating that these are
examples of ''reforms with human face''. This government
assumed power on May 22, 2004, with the support of the
Left parties, and was expected to bring about major
changes in the economic policies in favour of the poor.
The question which naturally arises is whether these
expectations are fulfilled or whether this government
too is framing policies favourable to the richer segments
of the population. This paper attempts to find an answer
to this question by analyzing the recent budget and
the two previous ones presented by Mr. P Chidambaram,
the Finance Minister. |
|
| Taxation
and the Budget |
| Mar
7th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
The
increase in central government tax revenues has been
described as a victory for the Laffer Curve in India.
This article examines the real reasons behind the recent
increase in the tax-GDP ratio, in particular, the change
in income distribution and the higher profitability
of companies. |
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